Recent research has found evidence for a linkage between conflict induced-displacement and violence. Yet, displacement is also caused by natural disasters, whose implications for security have until now not received much attention. Drawing on spatial data on flood-induced disasters and forced migration in Africa, we investigate the impact of migration caused by natural disasters on social conflict. We show that disaster-induced displacement differs from conflict induced displacement and raises distinct security implications. We also consider if areas simultaneously affected by conflict and disaster-induced migration are particularly at risk of conflict. The results suggest that there is no such amplifying effect.
Dr Roxana Radu
Solen Le Clec’h, Nicolas Jégou, Xavier Arnauld de Sartre, Thibaud Decaens, Simon Dufour, Michel Grimaldi, Johan Oszwald
Clémence Lehec
Swiss Network for
International Studies