Recent research has found evidence for a linkage between conflict induced-displacement and violence. Yet, displacement is also caused by natural disasters, whose implications for security have until now not received much attention. Drawing on spatial data on flood-induced disasters and forced migration in Africa, we investigate the impact of migration caused by natural disasters on social conflict. We show that disaster-induced displacement differs from conflict induced displacement and raises distinct security implications. We also consider if areas simultaneously affected by conflict and disaster-induced migration are particularly at risk of conflict. The results suggest that there is no such amplifying effect.
Matthew E. Verbyla, Ana K. Pitol, Tala Navab-Daneshmand, Sara J. Marks, Timothy R. Julian
Vincent Moreau, Luis Costa
Christelle Molima
Philippe Le Billon, Mary Menton, José Aylwin, Peter Bille Larsen, Jörg Balsiger, David Boyd, Michel Forst, Fran Lambrick, Claudelice Santos, Hannah Storey, Susan Wilding
Kiri Olivia Santer
Swiss Network for
International Studies